{"generatedAt":"2026-07-31T00:55:45.736Z","schemaVersion":"WP-COMPARE-1.0","countries":[{"slug":"united-states","name":"United States","code":"USA","region":"North America","income":"High income","capital":"Washington D.C.","coverage":80,"summary":{"bottomLine":"United States has 88% historical indicator coverage, but only 80% is current enough for present-day modeling. Economic direction is mixed and household direction is slightly improving.","whyItMatters":"2.2% current real growth, 2.9% current inflation and 4.2% current unemployment would shape income, purchasing power, credit conditions and public pressure. A value shown as unavailable here may still exist below as historical context.","globalRole":"Trade equals 25.0% of GDP and net foreign direct investment equals 1.3% of GDP. The comparable indicators do not identify one dominant macro theme; valuation, liquidity and company quality remain decisive.","dataWarning":"This is a structured model baseline, not a sovereign credit rating, election forecast, security guarantee or investment recommendation. 2 stale observations are retained as historical context and 0 future-dated observations are quarantined; neither can enter current inference."},"directions":[{"category":"Political and security","horizon":"Next 3 months","direction":"Insufficient evidence","confidence":"Low","reasons":["Current elections, protests, conflict and institutional changes are not yet normalized into the country model."],"reversalCondition":"Connect and validate current political-event sources before assigning a direction."},{"category":"Economy","horizon":"Next 12 months","direction":"Mixed","confidence":"Moderate","reasons":["Current real growth is 2.2%.","Current consumer-price inflation is 2.9%."],"reversalCondition":"A large demand, currency, commodity or policy shock could reverse the baseline."},{"category":"Household finances","horizon":"Next 12 months","direction":"Slightly improving","confidence":"Moderate","reasons":["Current inflation is 2.9%.","Current unemployment is 4.2%.","Current severe food insecurity is 1.0%."],"reversalCondition":"Wages, housing, utilities and benefit adequacy can materially change household outcomes."},{"category":"Infrastructure and technology","horizon":"Next 5 years","direction":"Stable","confidence":"Moderate","reasons":["Current rural electricity access is 100.0%.","Current internet use is 94.7%."],"reversalCondition":"Financing, project execution, affordability or power reliability could slow improvement."}],"opportunity":{"theme":"Broad-market quality and selectivity","why":"The comparable indicators do not identify one dominant macro theme; valuation, liquidity and company quality remain decisive.","rated":true},"risks":[{"risk":"Stale observations","evidence":"2 historical readings exceed their indicator-specific age limits","why":"These values remain useful historical context, but using them as current conditions would create false precision."}],"marketVehicle":{"ticker":"SPY","name":"SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust","verifiedForTrading":false,"warning":"Confirm mandate, holdings, fees, liquidity, domicile and brokerage access with the fund issuer."},"linkedForecasts":[{"slug":"us-inflation-december-2026","question":"Will U.S. all-items consumer-price inflation be at or above 3.0% year over year in December 2026?","probability":49,"confidence":"Moderate","resolutionDate":"2027-01-15","updatedAt":"2026-07-30","url":"/forecasts#us-inflation-december-2026"}],"metrics":[{"key":"growth","label":"Real GDP growth","unit":"%","value":2.16138195623856,"period":"2025","freshness":"current","quarantined":false},{"key":"inflation","label":"Consumer-price inflation","unit":"%","value":2.94952520485207,"period":"2024","freshness":"current","quarantined":false},{"key":"unemployment","label":"Unemployment","unit":"%","value":4.198,"period":"2025","freshness":"current","quarantined":false},{"key":"gdpPerCapita","label":"GDP per person","unit":"USD","value":90026.5163005744,"period":"2025","freshness":"current","quarantined":false},{"key":"internet","label":"Internet use","unit":"%","value":94.69380188,"period":"2024","freshness":"current","quarantined":false},{"key":"lifeExpectancy","label":"Life expectancy","unit":"years","value":78.890243902439,"period":"2024","freshness":"current","quarantined":false},{"key":"foodInsecurity","label":"Severe food insecurity","unit":"%","value":1,"period":"2023","freshness":"current","quarantined":false},{"key":"socialProtection","label":"Social-protection coverage","unit":"%","value":null,"period":null,"freshness":"missing","quarantined":false},{"key":"trade","label":"Trade exposure","unit":"% of GDP","value":25.0160172978284,"period":"2024","freshness":"current","quarantined":false},{"key":"mineralRents","label":"Mineral rents","unit":"% of GDP","value":0.101999501227916,"period":"2021","freshness":"stale","quarantined":false},{"key":"renewableEnergy","label":"Renewable energy","unit":"%","value":10.9,"period":"2021","freshness":"stale","quarantined":false}],"url":"/countries/united-states"},{"slug":"bahrain","name":"Bahrain","code":"BHR","region":"Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan & Pakistan","income":"High income","capital":"Manama","coverage":68,"summary":{"bottomLine":"Bahrain has 76% historical indicator coverage, but only 68% is current enough for present-day modeling. Economic direction is mixed and household direction is slightly improving.","whyItMatters":"3.5% current real growth, -0.1% current inflation and 1.1% current unemployment would shape income, purchasing power, credit conditions and public pressure. A value shown as unavailable here may still exist below as historical context.","globalRole":"Trade equals 157.5% of GDP and net foreign direct investment equals 5.7% of GDP. Trade equals 157.5% of GDP, increasing both logistics opportunity and exposure to global demand.","dataWarning":"This is a structured model baseline, not a sovereign credit rating, election forecast, security guarantee or investment recommendation. 2 stale observations are retained as historical context and 0 future-dated observations are quarantined; neither can enter current inference."},"directions":[{"category":"Political and security","horizon":"Next 3 months","direction":"Insufficient evidence","confidence":"Low","reasons":["Current elections, protests, conflict and institutional changes are not yet normalized into the country model."],"reversalCondition":"Connect and validate current political-event sources before assigning a direction."},{"category":"Economy","horizon":"Next 12 months","direction":"Mixed","confidence":"Low","reasons":["Current real growth is 3.5%.","Current consumer-price inflation is -0.1%."],"reversalCondition":"A large demand, currency, commodity or policy shock could reverse the baseline."},{"category":"Household finances","horizon":"Next 12 months","direction":"Slightly improving","confidence":"Low","reasons":["Current inflation is -0.1%.","Current unemployment is 1.1%.","Current severe food insecurity is unavailable."],"reversalCondition":"Wages, housing, utilities and benefit adequacy can materially change household outcomes."},{"category":"Infrastructure and technology","horizon":"Next 5 years","direction":"Stable","confidence":"Low","reasons":["Current rural electricity access is 100.0%.","Current internet use is 100.0%."],"reversalCondition":"Financing, project execution, affordability or power reliability could slow improvement."}],"opportunity":{"theme":"Export networks and supply chains","why":"Trade equals 157.5% of GDP, increasing both logistics opportunity and exposure to global demand.","rated":true},"risks":[{"risk":"External-demand exposure","evidence":"157.5% trade-to-GDP","why":"Foreign slowdowns, currencies and shipping disruptions transmit quickly into the domestic economy."},{"risk":"Current-evidence gap","evidence":"68% current coverage; 76% historical coverage","why":"Missing or stale observations are excluded from current grades and directions because they could materially change the outlook."},{"risk":"Stale observations","evidence":"2 historical readings exceed their indicator-specific age limits","why":"These values remain useful historical context, but using them as current conditions would create false precision."}],"marketVehicle":null,"linkedForecasts":[],"metrics":[{"key":"growth","label":"Real GDP growth","unit":"%","value":3.48137573668635,"period":"2025","freshness":"current","quarantined":false},{"key":"inflation","label":"Consumer-price inflation","unit":"%","value":-0.137708855447902,"period":"2025","freshness":"current","quarantined":false},{"key":"unemployment","label":"Unemployment","unit":"%","value":1.102,"period":"2025","freshness":"current","quarantined":false},{"key":"gdpPerCapita","label":"GDP per person","unit":"USD","value":30596.5794898885,"period":"2025","freshness":"current","quarantined":false},{"key":"internet","label":"Internet use","unit":"%","value":100,"period":"2024","freshness":"current","quarantined":false},{"key":"lifeExpectancy","label":"Life expectancy","unit":"years","value":81.423,"period":"2024","freshness":"current","quarantined":false},{"key":"foodInsecurity","label":"Severe food insecurity","unit":"%","value":null,"period":null,"freshness":"missing","quarantined":false},{"key":"socialProtection","label":"Social-protection coverage","unit":"%","value":null,"period":null,"freshness":"missing","quarantined":false},{"key":"trade","label":"Trade exposure","unit":"% of GDP","value":157.480869430187,"period":"2024","freshness":"current","quarantined":false},{"key":"mineralRents","label":"Mineral rents","unit":"% of GDP","value":0,"period":"2021","freshness":"stale","quarantined":false},{"key":"renewableEnergy","label":"Renewable energy","unit":"%","value":0,"period":"2021","freshness":"stale","quarantined":false}],"url":"/countries/bahrain"}],"methodology":{"label":"Side-by-side observations","explanation":"Values retain their source period. No missing value becomes zero, and a higher number is not automatically better.","source":{"name":"World Bank open development, poverty and social-protection indicators","lastUpdated":"2026-07-13","freshnessReferenceYear":2026,"freshnessMethod":"An observation is current only when its source year is no older than that indicator's declared maximum age. Older observations remain visible as historical context but cannot enter current grades or directions.","indicatorMaxAgeYears":{"growth":2,"gdpPerCapita":2,"unemployment":2,"laborParticipation":2,"youthNeet":4,"inflation":2,"internet":3,"electricity":4,"sanitation":5,"lifeExpectancy":4,"childMortality":4,"secondaryEnrollment":5,"povertyNational":6,"povertyExtreme":6,"foodInsecurity":4,"socialProtection":6,"safetyNetCoverage":6,"trade":2,"mineralRents":3,"population":2,"fdi":2,"urbanization":3,"pm25":5,"renewableEnergy":4,"airPassengers":3},"requestedIndicators":25,"respondingIndicators":25,"failedIndicators":[],"url":"https://datahelpdesk.worldbank.org/knowledgebase/articles/889392"}},"missing":[]}