A CRYSTAL BALL WITH RECEIPTSThe world,
made useful.
WorldPredicta turns aircraft, ships, economies, public health, resources, culture and everyday life into plain-English signals about what could happen next.
Every forecast has a deadline, evidence, public resolution rule and permanent result. Missing data is shown—not guessed. LIVE SENSOR MAPPlanes · hazards · heat · prices · sea lanesOPEN MAP →
ASK THE WORLDStart with a question, not a dashboard.
Ask about a country, food prices, market themes or what could happen next. The answer shows what supports it, what pushes back and what is still missing.
TODAY'S FORECASTS
Clear questions. Real deadlines. Public results.
These are WorldPredicta's first timestamped research forecasts. Every one must eventually resolve yes or no and remain in the public archive.
INITIAL MODEL RELEASEThe probabilities are model estimates—not promises, personal advice or historically validated performance. Movement begins after this baseline.
ECONOMYCONFIDENCE · MODERATE
Will U.S. all-items consumer-price inflation be at or above 3.0% year over year in December 2026?
49%PROBABILITY
BaselineCHANGE THIS WEEK
HORIZONAbout 6 months
RESOLVESJan 15, 2027
UPDATEDJul 30, 2026
The estimate balances persistent service and housing pressure against slower goods inflation and the possibility of weaker demand.
WHY THIS PROBABILITY- Recent headline inflation remains sensitive to housing, energy and service costs.
- Supply disruptions can quickly re-enter household prices.
SUPPLY CHAINCONFIDENCE · MODERATE
Will a tracked strategic sea lane record a 7-day average transit decline of at least 20% before December 31, 2026?
36%PROBABILITY
BaselineCHANGE THIS WEEK
HORIZONAbout 5 months
RESOLVESJan 8, 2027
UPDATEDJul 30, 2026
The threshold is intentionally large: routine weekly variation should not count as a disruption.
WHY THIS PROBABILITY- A small number of narrow passages carry globally important energy and container flows.
- Conflict, weather, accidents and rerouting can produce sharp traffic changes.
CLIMATECONFIDENCE · MODERATE
Will 2026 finish among the three warmest calendar years in the ERA5 global temperature record?
78%PROBABILITY
BaselineCHANGE THIS WEEK
HORIZONAbout 7 months
RESOLVESFeb 15, 2027
UPDATEDJul 30, 2026
The forecast concerns annual global rank, not whether every city or month will be unusually hot.
WHY THIS PROBABILITY- Recent global temperatures provide a high starting baseline.
- Ocean heat and greenhouse-gas forcing influence the full-year average.
ECONOMYCONFIDENCE · LOW
Will the IMF's first 2027 outlook update forecast world real GDP growth below 3.0% for 2027?
44%PROBABILITY
BaselineCHANGE THIS WEEK
HORIZONAbout 7 months
RESOLVESFeb 28, 2027
UPDATEDJul 30, 2026
Trade, inflation, interest rates and policy shocks pull in different directions, so model disagreement remains high.
WHY THIS PROBABILITY- Weak trade or investment can pull multiple regions down together.
- Persistent inflation can keep financial conditions restrictive.
FOODCONFIDENCE · LOW
Will the FAO Food Price Index for December 2026 be at least 8% above its December 2025 level?
39%PROBABILITY
BaselineCHANGE THIS WEEK
HORIZONAbout 6 months
RESOLVESJan 31, 2027
UPDATEDJul 30, 2026
Weather, energy, currencies, fertilizer and trade restrictions can compound, but strong harvests can reverse pressure quickly.
WHY THIS PROBABILITY- Heat and rainfall shocks can affect several major producing regions at once.
- Energy and fertilizer costs flow into production and transport.
TRAVELCONFIDENCE · LOW
Will international tourist arrivals in 2026 exceed the 2019 level by at least 5% in UN Tourism's first full-year estimate?
56%PROBABILITY
BaselineCHANGE THIS WEEK
HORIZONAbout 11 months
RESOLVESJun 30, 2027
UPDATEDJul 30, 2026
Air capacity and demand support continued recovery, while prices, conflict and regional travel restrictions remain meaningful brakes.
WHY THIS PROBABILITY- Air connectivity and household travel demand can keep expanding.
- Visa changes and new routes can unlock additional cross-border trips.
WORLD RIGHT NOW
Start with what is actually moving.
READING PUBLIC FEEDS
Live counts are observations, not forecasts. A sampled set is drawn on the map so the interface stays fast.
CULTURE RADAR
What people are paying attention to.
Public curiosity and conversation, compared across sources. Attention is a clue—not proof that a claim is true.
Preparing the latest verified culture snapshot…The page will show source-backed topics only; no placeholder trend is treated as real.
COUNTRY X-RAYUnderstand any country without reading a textbook.
Pick from 218 WorldPredicta entities: 195 countries and 23 territories or special areas. The World Bank supplies 217 comparable profiles; the Holy See is maintained separately.
Choose a country → COUNTRY RESILIENCEBTransparent composite grade
OPPORTUNITY ALIGNMENTBMacro research screen
Every grade opens into the evidence. Missing evidence shows an em dash—never a fake zero.
MARKET RESEARCH PREVIEW
Which themes currently line up.
Theme alignment is an index—not a probability of profit, expected return, live valuation, personalized recommendation or buy signal.
LIVE MODEL—READING
Calculating today’s world-signal ranking
Checking direct news, culture, hazards, economies and shipping flows.
THEME ALIGNMENTA higher score means more current WorldPredicta themes point in the same direction. It is not a probability, expected return or personal recommendation.Open market research → THE EVERYTHING MAP
Nothing important gets pushed off the screen.
WorldPredicta separates each part of life, then studies how shocks travel between them.
◉People
Jobs, wages, migration, health, education and public assistance
Economy
Growth, prices, trade, debt, currencies and investment flows
Culture
Music, film, gaming, sports, fashion, creators and attention
Movement
Aircraft, ships, ports, rail, roads and supply-chain pressure
Resources
Minerals, energy, water, crops, power grids and industrial inputs
Risk
Weather, disasters, conflict, cyber, institutions and social stress
WHAT THIS MACHINE CAN—and cannot—DOIt does not “know” the future. It watches for pressure building before the outcome becomes obvious.
1. ObserveOfficial releases and public sensors create dated evidence.
2. CompareSignals are checked against history, baselines and other sources.
3. ExplainForecasts show drivers, uncertainty and what would prove them wrong.